Tories level with Labour, Guardian poll shows. Get the full results
The Conservatives are level with Labour for the first time since March 2012. Get the full data from the latest Guardian/ICM poll
The Conservatives have erased a seven percentage point deficit to Labour over the last month and David Cameron's party is now level with Ed Miliband's, with a 36% share of voting intentions.
Labour's share was unchanged, while the Tories appear to have benefited from Ukip's continued slide. Nigel Farage's party has slipped from an 18% share in May to 12% in June and now 7%.
Labour had led the Conservatives by at least five percentage points since March 2012, at which point the Tories were leading by three points.
The poll also found an overwhelming acceptance (65% of respondents) that the deficit cannot be cut without raising taxes, and that MPs' salaries ? rather than being increased ? are already too high.
Another question revealed a split on Trident, with 31% suggesting the nuclear deterrent should be replaced, and an identical proportion recommending it be slimmed down, while 30% saying any kind of nuclear deterrent should be scrapped altogether.
Patrick Wintour has more here, where he writes:
The fall in the Ukip share of the vote may reflect both the recent comparative decline in publicity for the party's leader, Nigel Farage, as well as Downing Street's persistent efforts to neutralise Ukip's appeal by countering with a series of strong messages on immigration, welfare and a referendum on UK membership of the European Union.
It may also suggest that Ukip support is in part a protest vote exercised in relatively unimportant local elections, and that this support dissipates once the protest has been registered.
You can download the full results of the poll below, and explore published voting intentions from every Guardian/ICM since 1984 here.
? ICM Research interviewed a random sample of 1003 adults aged 18+ by telephone on 12-14 July 2013. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults. ICM is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.
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Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/datablog/2013/jul/15/tories-level-labour-poll-full-results
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